Modeling of mercury deposition in India: evaluating emission inventories and anthropogenic impacts

Abstract

Mercury (Hg), a ubiquitous atmospheric trace metal posing serious health risks, originates from natural and anthropogenic sources. India, the world's second-largest Hg emitter and a signatory to the Minamata Convention, is committed to reducing these emissions. However, critical gaps exist in our understanding of the spatial and temporal distribution of Hg across the vast Indian subcontinent due to limited observational data. This study addresses this gap by employing the GEOS-Chem model with various emission inventories (UNEP2010, WHET, EDGAR, STREETS, and UNEP2015) to simulate Hg variability across the Asian domain, with a specific focus on India from 2013 to 2017. Model performance was evaluated using ground-based GMOS observations and available literature data. Emission inventory performance varied across different observational stations. Hence, we employed ensemble results from all inventories. The maximum relative bias for Total Gaseous Mercury (TGM) and Gaseous Elemental Mercury (GEM; Hg⁰) concentrations is about ±20%, indicating simulations with sufficient accuracy. Total Hg wet deposition fluxes are highest over the Western Ghats and the Himalayan foothills due to higher rainfall. During the monsoon, the Hg wet deposition flux is about 65.4% of the annual wet deposition flux. Moreover, westerly winds cause higher wet deposition in summer over Northern and Eastern India. Total Hg dry deposition flux accounts for 72–74% of total deposition over India. Hg⁰ dry deposition fluxes are higher over Eastern India, which correlates strongly with the leaf area index. Excluding Indian anthropogenic emissions from the model simulations resulted in a substantial decrease (21.9% and 33.5%) in wet and total Hg deposition fluxes, highlighting the dominant role of human activities in Hg pollution in India.